
1. Market Pulse — Bitcoin’s Six-Figure Plateau
Bitcoin opened Monday’s Asian session near US $105,700, holding the line it reclaimed after Thursday’s flash-dip to US$ 100.5K. On-chain data tracked by The Block show exchange balances stuck at five-year lows, suggesting most coins flushed out by the US $4K draw-down were absorbed almost immediately by long-term holders. Analysts nonetheless call the range “fragile but well-bid,” with visible buy-walls clustered between US $104K and US $103K.
MicroStrategy reloads. The firm has upsized a perpetual preferred-stock offering from US$ 250M to US$ 1B. Executive chairman Michael Saylor’s “Send more orange” post all but confirmed the capital will be deployed into BTC.
Trading angle: With MicroStrategy’s bid expected to settle this week, short-term dips under US $105K look increasingly like buy-the-wobble opportunities. Scalpers on MEXC are parking stop-losses just below US $102.9K to stay clear of another liquidation cascade.
2. Institutions Pivot Toward Ether
Spot-Ether ETFs, overshadowed for months by Bitcoin products, are suddenly the flow leaders. Nine U.S. ETH funds have pulled in US $812 million over the past 15 trading days, a 2025 record that lifted cumulative net inflows north of US $3 billion. BlackRock’s ETHA vehicle alone captured 71% of the haul, while Fidelity’s FETH added US $123 million.
Cheaper ARKB shares ahead. 21Shares confirmed its flagship ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF will undergo a 3-for-1 split on 16 June, cutting the per-share price to roughly US $35 without altering NAV or ticker. Splits tend to boost retail volume and tighten spreads, a tail-wind for arbitrage desks.
Trading angle: The ETH/BTC ratio crept back over 0.025 this morning. If inflows remain positive through mid-week, the spread could test March’s 0.027 high; consider hedged perp pairs rather than outright longs to manage SEC headline risk.
3. Regulation — Promise and Uncertainty in Washington
The SEC has punted decisions on spot XRP, Ether-staking and DOGE ETFs to mid-June, exercising its second of three possible extensions. Market watchers now peg October as the practical deadline, and options desks are already marking up summer volatility.
Stablecoin bill gains steam. A bipartisan draft that would force dollar-pegged tokens to hold only cash or T-bills — and publish monthly audits — cleared committee last week. Reuters calculates today’s top issuers already park about US $166 billion in Treasuries; the bill could swell that figure toward US $2 trillion by 2028. Moody’s welcomes the extra demand but warns a run-driven sell-off could rattle the short-term debt market.
Trading angle: Fully collateralised stablecoins are good for users but bad for on-chain yields. Expect DeFi lending rates to compress if the bill passes; hedge funding-rate assumptions on perpetual swaps accordingly.
4. Asia-Pacific Snapshot
India — the cautious giant. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra reiterated on Friday that unregulated crypto “can hamper financial stability and monetary policy,” adding that no legislation is imminent even after the Supreme Court’s nudge for clarity. The warning keeps Indian exchanges in grey-zone limbo and may nudge traders toward offshore venues.
Japan — door opens wider. By contrast, Tokyo’s upper house just passed amendments to the Payment Services Act that create a lighter “crypto brokerage” licence, slashing capital requirements for firms that only mediate trades. Observers expect a wave of custody and OTC desks to register over the next quarter.
Trading angle: Yen-denominated BTC pairs already trade at a slight premium during Tokyo hours; new local brokers could tighten those spreads, creating arbitrage grazes for fast movers on MEXC.
5. Alt-Token Buzz — High-Octane, High-Risk Plays
Pump.fun— Solana’s meme-coin factory — is reportedly lining up a US$1 billion public sale at a US$4 billion FDV, with 10% of supply tipped for a community airdrop. None of the details are confirmed, but multiple outlets including Blockworks and Cointelegraph cite sources pointing to a late-June launch. Solana-ecosystem gas fees spiked 12% on the rumour alone.
Hamster Kombat keeps Telegram’s tap-to-earn mania alive. Today’s Daily Cipher code is “NFTY,” rewarding one million in-game coins when tapped in Morse. Engagement metrics for the game’s 300-million-strong player base remain sky-high ahead of an expected HMSTR listing later this summer.
Trading angle: If Pump.fun confirms tokenomics, brace for a volatility burst in SOL perps. Meanwhile, HMSTR IOUs on MEXC’s Innovation Zone see speculative inflows each time a fresh cipher drops — tight stops are essential.
6. Tactical Playbook (Quick Hits)
Narrative | Setup | Guardrails |
MicroStrategy front-run | Ladder spot BTC bids between US $104.5 k–105.2 k; 3 % TP bands | Hard stop at US $102.9 k |
ETH out-performance | Long ETH/short BTC perp at 1× | Close if ratio < 0.0245 |
Asia arb | Quote BTC-JPY spreads 08:00–10:00 JST | Flatten by Tokyo close |
Meme-coin event trade | Allocate < 2 % portfolio to SOL meme grabs on Pump.fun news | Daily loss cap 0.5 % |
Closing Thoughts
Macro calm, ETF inflows and policy cross-currents make for a market where patience is rewarded but complacency punished. Bitcoin’s six-figure foothold, Ether’s stealth bid, and Asia’s policy split frame the week’s narrative, while event-driven alt plays add spice for those willing to manage the risk. Log in to MEXC, set your Smart-Trade triggers and trade where momentum meets precision — because in crypto, timing is the sharpest edge.
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